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2024-12-13 11:57:43

The index went up and down, and I moderately revised my view on the market outlook.


1. Technically, the 30-minute level does not effectively form the structure of synchronous rising kinetic energy, and at the same time, this pattern of high volume and low volume may be adjusted by a daily level in the later stage. Moreover, the daily line adjustment needs at least the confirmation of the classification of the day after tomorrow, but this is only a technical analysis, and the logical strength is not enough at this time.2. As I said in the previous article, the ranking of logical intensity of this bull market is: policy intention > industrial logic > technical structure > all other technologies. Then from the policy point of view, the intention released yesterday is very obvious, full of warmth and sincerity. Then this basically blocks the possibility of a sharp decline, but will this daily adjustment come? I can only judge according to my cognition, but I don't think so, because the machine bought a lot of chips in front of it, and heaven has already hit winning numbers for the whole market. There are two restrictive factors here, one is that heaven may be angry, and the other is that it is too winning numbers, so it may be picked up cheaply by other funds, and they will not get any benefits. Therefore, although there are technical concerns, I still think that there is a greater probability of going up with slow shocks here.1. Technically, the 30-minute level does not effectively form the structure of synchronous rising kinetic energy, and at the same time, this pattern of high volume and low volume may be adjusted by a daily level in the later stage. Moreover, the daily line adjustment needs at least the confirmation of the classification of the day after tomorrow, but this is only a technical analysis, and the logical strength is not enough at this time.


2. As I said in the previous article, the ranking of logical intensity of this bull market is: policy intention > industrial logic > technical structure > all other technologies. Then from the policy point of view, the intention released yesterday is very obvious, full of warmth and sincerity. Then this basically blocks the possibility of a sharp decline, but will this daily adjustment come? I can only judge according to my cognition, but I don't think so, because the machine bought a lot of chips in front of it, and heaven has already hit winning numbers for the whole market. There are two restrictive factors here, one is that heaven may be angry, and the other is that it is too winning numbers, so it may be picked up cheaply by other funds, and they will not get any benefits. Therefore, although there are technical concerns, I still think that there is a greater probability of going up with slow shocks here.1. Technically, the 30-minute level does not effectively form the structure of synchronous rising kinetic energy, and at the same time, this pattern of high volume and low volume may be adjusted by a daily level in the later stage. Moreover, the daily line adjustment needs at least the confirmation of the classification of the day after tomorrow, but this is only a technical analysis, and the logical strength is not enough at this time.

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